Her algorithm succeeded serviceς Bing Prediction Engine of the US giant software
Bing Prediction Engine, a Microsoft service that had correctly predicted the winner of the World Cup and the Results in the British Football League, correctly guessed 20 of the 24 Academy Awards handed out on Sunday night. The only winners Microsoft's algorithms didn't predict were the original screenplay, animation, music and editing categories.
He keeps his secrets
Head of Bing Prediction Engine, which is not available on Greece, is economist David Rothschild, based at Microsoft's research lab in New York. He became famous in 2012 when he successfully predicted the results of the US elections in all 50 US states.
Rothschild does not reveal details of the algorithms in his post for the Oscars at Microsoft's TechnetBlog. He says, however, that he has taken seriously the criticism of the public to exclude films such as the Selma from the lists of candidates. These loud absences are important to predict the winners because they "change the distribution of votes for the other nominees," he says. It also notes that the forecasts can not be based on public opinion, "As the feelings and aspirations of the general public are closely linked to popularity and popularity" of the candidates.
Forecast markets
Rothschild did, however, consider “prediction markets,” which “follow a chosen team people who have information higher-level understanding of what voters will do, and are willing to bet money on the results.” You can see more of Rothschild's predictions on his website PredictWise.com, which offers prognostics for a variety of political, sporting and cultural themes. In last year's Oscars, the Bing Prediction Engine correctly predicted 21 from the 24 winners.
Source: tovima.gr