He succeeded algorithm of the service Bing Prediction Engine of the US giant software
Bing Prediction Engine, a service of Microsoft who correctly predicted the winner of the World Cup and the results in the British football league, correctly guessed 20 of the 24 Academy Awards presented on Sunday night. The only winners not predicted by Microsoft's algorithms were the original screenplay, animation, musicand editing.
He keeps his secrets
The head of the Bing Prediction Engine, which is not available in Greece, is the economist David Rothschild, based in the Microsoft research laboratory in New York. He became famous in 2012 when he successfully predicted the results of the US election in all 50 states of USA.
Rothschild does not reveal details of the algorithms in his post for the Oscars at Microsoft's TechnetBlog. He says, however, that he has taken seriously the criticism of the public to exclude films such as the Selma from the lists of candidates. These loud absences are important to predict the winners because they "change the distribution of votes for the other nominees," he says. It also notes that the forecasts can not be based on public opinion, "As the feelings and aspirations of the general public are closely linked to popularity and popularity" of the candidates.
Forecast markets
Rothschild did, however, consider “prediction markets,” which “follow a chosen team people who have high-level information about what voters will do, and are willing to bet money on the results.” You can see more of Rothschild's predictions on his website PredictWise.com, which offers prognostics for a variety of political, sporting and cultural themes. In last year's Oscars, the Bing Prediction Engine correctly predicted 21 from the 24 winners.
Source: tovima.gr
