End Android for Huawei: Sunday News they said that Google, following a US government decree, has decided to suspend its partnership with Huawei. It was one of the most dramatic moments in the history of Android.
Huawei, the most productive smartphone company in China, had started production in 2019 and with a double-digit growth rate was well on its way to beating Samsung, the world's first manufacturer of telephone devices.
For the record, according to Huawei's growth rates, it would have passed the Korean company by the end of 2019.
But without the support of Google and Android, this is not going to happen - neither in 2019 nor in 2020.
What will happen in the history of Android, but also in the history of the company from China, no one knows.
All of this could be just a short-lived tactic of the Trump administration trying to prove to the Chinese government that it now needs to take action. Of course, Huawei could remain on the US blacklist indefinitely, creating various scenarios, none of which seem to be good for the company's future.
Following Google's decision, Huawei loses its licensing agreement to provide services through Google Play and access to the Google Play Store for Huawei's new Android devices. Existing customers will not be affected, although Google will not continue its business with Huawei.
Customers of the Chinese company will not be able to receive other updates to the Android OS. (Honor, a subsidiary of Huawei, seems to have the same problem). This seems disastrous for Huawei plans to launch smartphones outside of China.
Huawei still has the ability to use Android open source, but Google is gradually removing all attractive components from the Android Open Source Project (AOSP).
The true experience of Android - with Google Maps, YouTube and, most importantly, the complete ecosystem of third-party Android applications - depends on Google's consent to the license.
Without Google software, Chinese buyers of the Chinese company would not have access to the Play Store.
In China, Huawei is already operating without the Play Store, due to Google's absence from the market. But even there, Huawei will suffer from not having a close partnership with Google. All rival companies from China will have access to the next version of Android sooner, while Huawei will have to wait for the open AOSP code to be made available to the public.
There is generally nothing positive in this situation for Huawei. Attempting to sell smartphones without the cooperation of Google in modern times seems to be disastrous. Consider Windows Phone, Palm OS, MeeGo, Symbian, Bada (later Tizen) and BlackBerry OS. These application-free operating systems simply have no chance against modern iOS-Android.
Huawei's official response was enough to emphasize its contribution to the global popularity of Android, but also to reassure current Huawei and Honor phone owners that they will continue to receive security updates. He promised to "continue to build a secure and sustainable software ecosystem." The company did not mention nothing for Android.
Huawei is reportedly aware of the possibility of a hostile US government stance that could last for years, and Consumer Chief Richard Yu recently revealed that he has developed his own alternatives for Android and Windows.
On the mobile platform this could be a branch of Android AOSP or a completely new operating system, created from scratch. In either case, Huawei will have to work hard to persuade developers to develop applications just for its own platform. Amazon, a huge company, could not create an operating Amazon Appstore on Android, let alone a Huawei.
Application developers are not going to queue up for a platform that was just born and is trying to survive through problems like competition and political conflict.
As for the Huawei Mate X, the company will probably have to stop advertising it until it regains rights to Android.
Of course, the best thing before reaching extremes is for China and the United States to reach a new trade agreement.
What will happen if US-China hostilities do not improve?
Huawei's efforts for a new operating system should at least be doubled. Selling Android phones does not seem to be possible without Google as a partner. The absolute beneficiary of this controversy will be Samsung.
However, China is unlikely to react positively to US intimidation tactics.